Thursday, January 31, 2008

Revised Super Tuesday Ratings

Today I have Revised Super Tuesday Ratings. Obama is Blue,Clinton is Red (light Leans, Dark is Safe) green is tossup. Today a poll was released showing The two virtually tied in California. Clinton was up 43-40 With a Keith number (MOE + Undecided) of 21. In Mass. (Clinton 43-37) and New Jersey (Clinton 43-39) Hillary's lead has dropped stunningly as it has all over the country. She has dropped Aprox. 10-15 Points since 1/26. Obama is now up in one poll. In Georgia his lead has strengthened (Obama 52-36) and has seen a minor drop in New Mexico. Overall the race will not be decided by Tuesday.

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

John McCain : Projected Victor of the Republican Nomination

McCain Has Sucured the Nomination with with a win In Florida. He Has 95 Delegates. his Opponet Will be Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton

Projection on the Repubican nomination as 2 Major Candidates Drop Out



6 Days Till Super Tuesday.
Florida was last night and here were the results:
McCain 36%
Romney 31%
Guliani 15%
Huckabee 13%
Paul 3%

With These Results I can now Project that John McCain Has won The Republican nomination


John McCain: Projected Victor of the Republican Nomination

And Because of this projection I will not rate super Tuesday For The Republicans:
The Delegate Count is:
X-John McCain 95
Mitt Romney 67
Huckabee 26
Paul 4
Yet To Be Decided 10

The Other Big Stories are the 2 Drop outs. Both Rudy Guliani and John Edwards have Droped out of the Race. Guliani Has Endorsed (the new nominee apparently) John McCain. Edwards has yet to throw his support (and his 26 Delgates) to his Candidate ( Most Likely Obama). Edwards Supporters according to exit polls will break 60-40 for Obama. This could mean a big jump. Also Electability may come in to play (now that McCain is The Nominee) witch also favors Obama.

Here is my Map for the Democrats. Dark Red represents Safe Clinton, light Red for lean Clinton, Dark Blue for Safe Obama Light Blue for lean Obama, Purple for Tossups:

Monday, January 28, 2008

Democrat delegat count

Obama 63
Clinton 48
Edwards 26 (out)

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Florid Final Call and Democrats Super Tuesday

Mitt Romney has a bit of momentum going into Florida despite Charlie Christ's endorsement of McCain. Who ever wins Florida will Likely go on to win the nomination, that is if (and a BIG if) there is a clear winner. Here are the polls:
McCain 29.8%
Romney 28.6%
Giuliani 15.2%
Huckabee 9.8%
Paul 4.2%
Here is my Final Call:
Romney 32%
McCain 30%
Guliani 16%
Huckabee 15%
Paul 7%

For the Democrats Obama today added to his momentum with the endorsement of the Kennedy Family. He has also demonstrated his power his momentum in states like Colorado (Obama up by 2(a couple days ago)-10(today)) Alabama (Obama by 1-7) California (Clinton by 12-2) But also in states like New Jersey (Clinton 18-4 and all over the rest of the US (Clinton by 6- Obama by 3) I am Updating the ratings accordingly.

Obama Wins Big in South Carolina and takes the lead in national polls

2 Days till Florida. Yesterday was the South Carolina Democratic Primary Here are the Results:
Obama 55%
Clinton 26%
Edwards 19%
Obama is going into super Tuesday with a 29%. Caroline Kennedy has endorsed Obama. We are looking at a Super Tuesday with just 6 positive leaders out of 22 states. Obama has a chance to lock the nomination if he wins states like Georgia, Alabama, Colorado, California, New Mexico, Kansas ect. Hillary is now in a position where she potentally must win 50%+1 of the delegates to win the nomination. This is due to the (now true) Edwards King-maker Strategy in witch he stays in the race to draw as many delegates as he can and then give them to the candidate of his choice. Obama has according to an AOL poll taken the lead in the national numbers (The real polling companies are a 2-3 Days behind). Here are the results of that poll as of now:
Obama 40%
Clinton 37%
Edwards 16%
Undecided 7%
I have added to the side Super Tuesday ratings for the democrats. I will add republican ratings after Florida. The numbers though are misleading. Obama should get a pretty large jump from this 29 point victory. He should in the next few days sucure some that are now leaning, make some tossups lean to him and move some states from the "Leaning (or Even safe) Clinton" Rating to the tossup rating.

I have new Polls for the Republicans from Florida:
Romney 27.6%
McCain 26.6%
Guliani 17.6%
Huckabee 15.2%
Paul 3.8%
What was once a four way tie has turned into the decider of a two man Race. The winner will likely be the noninee. Here are my rankings:
Democrats
1.Obama
---2ed Tier---
2. Clinton
---3ed Tier---
3.Edwards
Republicans
1.Romney
2.McCain
--2ed Tier---
3.Huckabee
---3ed tier---
4.Guliani
5. Paul

Friday, January 25, 2008

South Carolina and other news

South Carolina is tomorrow. since I wrote my last post there has been big news.

Thompson was the first major candidate to drop out. his votes will be split between Huckabee and Romney. this is about 11% of the electorate. It helps Romney in Florida where he is approximately tied . Here are my averages:
Romney 24.6%
McCain 24.4%
Guliani 18.2%
Huckabee 15.2%
Paul 4.4%

Here are my Rankings:
1.Romney
2.McCain
--2ed Tier--
3.Huckabee
---3ed Tier---
4.Guliani
5.Paul

Kucinich Dropped out witch is no big deal. his 1% goes to Obama. My Final call for South Carolina is:
Obama 46%
Clinton 28%
Edwards 26%
I will have rankings tomorrow. The C-span/ Zogby poll says Obama by 13.

Saturday, January 19, 2008

The Strangest day since I've ever seen in Politics

7 Days to South Carolina . Today has been the strangest day I've ever seen:

Lets start with the Republican Nevada Results:
Romney 51% (18 Delegates)
Paul 14% (4)
McCain 13% (4)
Huckabee 8% (2)
Thompson (2)
Guliani 4% (1)
Hunter 2% (0)

This race was predicted to be close by anyone who Analyzed it. Ron Paul was not going to be in second. Guliani was going to be 3ed or 4th not 6th. I'm Amazed at these results. This was a clear Victory for Romney. After Nevada the Delegate count was:
Romney 67
Huckabee 20
McCain 19
Thompson 8
Paul 6
Guliani 1
Hunter 1
After this insanity Duncan Hunter announced his withdrawal from the race. He is a third tier candidate. Typically they drop out much later. He had no shot at the nomination

As all of this was going on we got the democratic results:
Clinton 51% (12)
Obama 46% (13)
Edwards 4% (0)

First off Edwards was in there until today. he polled at 27% but only got 4% of the vote. Second Obama lost the popular by 6% witch was a bigger margin than us pendents anticipated. some of us (like me) were even calling on him to win. Third Even though Obama lost he won. that is not a typo Obama won 13 Delegates Clinton won 12. It is rare that that happens to the winner. In My Book Obama and Clinton both won. Edwards did not drop out after his third place showing. He may be waiting to Convention day to hand pick the democratic Nominee. Under this scenario the Nominee would Presumably be Obama, but you never know. If Edwards is planning this Clinton (presumably) would have to reach 50%+1 of the delegates to win the nomination witch is a lot harder in a 3 way race.
The Count stands :
Obama 38
Clinton 36
Edwards 18
The records are (w-l-t)
Obama 2-0-1
Clinton 1-1-1
Edwards 0-3-0
Here are my Rankings:
1a.Obama
1b.Clinton
---2ed Tier---
3.Edwards

Next came The Republican South Carolina. Right after polls closed Fred Thompson Gave a sounding like he was dropping out but ended it staying neutral. Then these results Came in:
McCain 33% (19)
Huckabee 30% (5)
Thompson 16%
Romney 15%
Paul 4%
Guliani 2%
McCain some how turned a losses in Michigan and Nevada (two states he had a lot riding on) into a win in South Carolina. Guliani Finished last Not just once but twice. Guliani Will have trouble winning big states after these Performances. I'm Expecting Thompson to Drop out soon.
Here is the Delegate count that stands
Romney 67
McCain 38
Huckabee 25
Thompson 8
Paul6
Guliani 1
Undecided 1
My Rankings:
1.Romney
2.McCain
---2ed Tier---
3.Huckabe
---3ed Tier---
4.Guliani
5.Paul
6.Thompson

Friday, January 18, 2008

South Carolina Final Call (Gop)

Final Poll
Huckabee 26%
McCain 25%
Romney 13%
Thompson 12%
Guliani 5%
Paul 5%

Huckabee Peak 1/6/08
Huckabee 36%
Romney 19%
McCain 17%

McCain Peak 1/14/08
McCain 29%
Huckabee 22%

Thompson Peak 10/2
Thompson 21%
McCain 16%
Romney 16%

2000 results
Bush 53%
McCain 42%

X- Factors
1) McCain drop, Romney Jump from Michigan
2)Thompson Basing his whole campaign

Turn out factor
1) High Evangelical vote good for Huckabee

Final Call
Huckabee 31%
McCain 26%
Romney 18%
Thompson 14%
Paul 6%
Guliani 5%
Hunter 0%

Nevada Final Call (Democrats)

Final Poll
Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%

Obama Peak 1/13
Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%

Clinton Peak 11/9
Clinton 51%
Obama 23%
Edwards 11%

Edwards Peak 1/13
Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%

2004 Results
Kerry 63%
Dean 17%
Edwards 10%

Favorability
Edwards +6%
Obama +3%
Clinton -1%

X- Factors
1) Obama helped by key union endorsements
2) Edwards won debate

Turn out say
1) Caucus system (open ballots / threshold)

Final Call
Obama 35%
Clinton 32%
Edwards 30%
Kucinich 3%

Nevada Final Call (Republicans)

Final Poll
Romney 23.5%
McCain 23.5%
Guliani 14.5%
Huckabee 12%
Thompson 12%
Paul 7.5%

Romney Peak 8/18
Romney 28%
Guliani 18%
Thompson 28%

Gulani Peak 3/9
Guliani 34%
McCain 19%
Romney 19%

McCain Peak 1/13
McCain 22%
Guliani 18%
Romney 15%

Favorabillity
McCain +15%
Romney -13%

X-Factors
1) Romney Jump From Michigan

Turnout Factors
1) Cacus System ( Open Primary, Long Voting)

Final Call
Romney 27%
McCain 22%
Guliani 17%
Huckabee 16%
Thompson 9%
Paul 9%
Hunter 0%

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Nevada for the Democrats

Nevada is a three way tossup. Who ever wins has a good shot at the nomination: here is the poll:
Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%
Hillary only won 55% of the Michigan vote. She was the only big candidate on the ballot and I was expecting her to land in the 60-67% range.
Last Night on the Colbert Report a Vegas odds maker gave these odds for Nevada
Obama 33%
Clinton 31%
Edwards 29%
Obama can stand a loss here but it would be risky ground. My money would be on Obama but that could all change quick. Edwards Must win to stay alive. If Hillary looses again she will need to pick up steam fast. Here are my Rankings:
1. Obama
2.Clinton
---2ed Tier---
3.Edwards

Michigan Results (republicans)

2 days till Nevada and South Carolina (Rep Only). Two days ago were the Michigan Primary, Here are the results:

Romney 38%
McCain 30%
Huckabee 16%
Paul 6%
Thompson 4%
Guliani 3%

my Final call was Dead on. my accuracy rate is back up to 98%.

McCain is back on the rocks, his only chance was to win here and he blew it. Huckabee still has a really good shot. Romney now has to win Nevada or South Carolina to stay in the lead. If Thompson looses South Carolina he will drop out. Here are my Averages for those states. Note that Romney will probably get a jump and Guliani and McCain loose ground:
Nevada
Romney 21.5%
McCain 21.5%
Guliani 14.5%
Huckabee 12%
Thompson 12%
Paul 7.5%

South Carolina
McCain 28%
Huckabee 24%
Romney 13.5%
Thompson 13.5%
Paul 5.5%
Guliani 5%

Here is the new Delegate count:
Romney 48
Huckabee 19
McCain 15
Thompson 6
Paul 2
Hunter 1

Here are my Rankings:
1. Huckabee
2. Romeny
---2ed Tier---
3.Guliani
4.McCain
5. Paul
6. Thompson

Monday, January 14, 2008

New Nevada Poll

Obama is at least dangerously close to Clinton. He could be in the lead By a sizable margin, But the debate will change things.
Here is the new research 2000 poll

Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%

In the last Research 2000 poll Clinton was ahead by 20 points. In the Mason- Dixon (pre-Iowa) poll Obama was only down by 8. With the projection of change in the Research 2000 poll Obama would Be ahead by 14 Points. If Obama wins in Nevada he has a huge shot at the nomination. Rankings:
1.Obama
2.Clinton
---2ed Tier---
3.Edwards

Michigan Final Call (republicans)

Final Poll
McCain 27%
Romney 26.3%
Huckabee 15.3%
Paul 6.3%
Guliani 6.3%
Thompson 5.7%

McCain Peak 1/10
McCain 23%
Romney 17%

Romney Peak 1/11
Romney 34%
McCain 27%

Net Fvorabillity
McCain +16%
Romney -13%

2000 Results
McCain 50%
Bush 43%
Keyes 5%

X-Factors
1) Mitt Romney was Born and raised in Michigan
2) Moderate republican state, McCain could do it again

Final Call
Romney 30% (+0.5%)
McCain 30%
Huckabee 17%
Paul 12%
Thompson 6%
Guliani 5%
Hunter < 1%

Wednesday, January 9, 2008

McCain wins NH, Democratic Stalemate with Hillary the Technical winner

Yesterday was the New Hampshire Primary Here are the results:
Clinton 39%
Obama 37%
Edwards 17%
Richardson 5%

McCain 37%
Romney 30%
Huckabee 11%
Guliani 9%
Paul 8%
Thompson 1%

Here is the Delegate Count
Obama 25
Clinton 24
Edwards 18
Richardson 0

Romney 25
Huckabee 18
McCain 10
Thompson 6
Paul 2
Hunter 1
Guliani 0

McCain was the big winner yesterday. there is one question left for him: Where does he go from here? McCain must win Michigan to stay in serious contention. same goes for Romney. Barring a virtual tie some one will be out by next Wednesday. both can pull off a win in South Carolina with a Michigan Victory. Guliani's campaign has been run in a manor that is monumentally stupid. Thompson has no currant shot. If Huckabee wins Michigan he will be the nominee. Rankings:
1. Huckabee
2. Romney
3. McCain
---Tier 2---
4.Guliani
5.Thompson
6.Paul

Richardson has dropped out. The nomination is looking like an Obama - Clinton Race. If Edwards drops out it secures the nomination for Obama. New Hampshire was not a Clinton win it was a stalemate. Obama only lost by 2 points , the 2 split the delegates evenly, Obama gave a better speech and most convincingly Obama wore down Hillary's money. Obama leads in the cash race 40 Mil to Clinton's 15 Mil. if Obama wins Nevada he wins the nomination, that's not the case for Clinton. Rankings:
1. Obama
2. Clinton
--2ed Tier---
3.Edwards

Monday, January 7, 2008

New Hampshire Final Call (Republicans)

Final Poll
McCain 34%
Romney 30%
Huckabee 13%
Paul 8%
Guliani 8%
Thompson 3%

McCain Peak 1/6
McCain 35%
Romney 27%

Romney Peak 12/3
Romney 37%
McCain 20%

Net Favorability
McCain +16%
Romney - 13%

2000 Results
McCain 49%
Bush 30%
Forbes 13%
Keyes 6%

X-Factors
1) Ind. Favor McCain (37% of Ind. voting Rep)
2) Romney Was in MA

Turnout
1) Higher Ind. turnout favors McCain

Final Call
McCain 40%
Romney 31%
Huckabee 13%
Paul 10%
Guliani 6%
Thompson 1%
Hunter < 1%

New Hampshire Final Call (Democrats)

Final Poll
Obama 41%
Clinton 28%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 6%

Obama peak 1/6
Obama 41%
Clinton 28%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 6%

Clinton Peak 9/10
Clinton 35%
Obama 16%
Edwards 16%
Richardson 8%

Net Favorability
Obama +7%
Edwards +4%
Richardson - 2%
Clinton -9%

2004 Results
Kerry 39%
Dean 26%
Clark 13%
Edwards 12%
Leiberman 9%

X-Factor
1) Obama is exciting voters in a way no one has since RFK.
2) Independents can Vote so This Favors Obama (according to polls Independents are voting in the democratic Primary 2:1 or 63%- 37%)
3) Edwards didn't do to well last time (13%-4th)
4) If Clinton cant win here where can she

Turnout factor
1) The higher the Independent vote is the more Obama will win by

Final Call
Obama 47%
Clinton 31%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 2%
Kucinich 1%

Saturday, January 5, 2008

Wyoming Results, Ahead to New Hampsire, Senate Rankings

3 Days to New Hampshire.

First off today was the site of the second caucus for the republican primary season. It took place in Wyoming here are the results

Romney 67%
Thompson 25%
Hunter 8%

The delegate count for each party is:
Huckabee 30
Romney 15
Thompson 3
Hunter 1

Obama 16
Clinton 15
Edwards 14

I have Avriges for New Hampshire:
Obama 35.5%
Clinton 29.7%
Edwards 20.5%
Richardson 4.7%

McCain 34.5%
Romney 26.3%
Huckabee 12.3%
Guliani 9.3%
Paul 9%
Thompson 2.5%

The Debate tonight will give me more prospective in to the placing. Obama and McCain are both Favored to win this Primary. I think there is a good chance Guliani will loose to Ron Paul for the second time. Here are my rankings:
1. Obama
---Tier 2---
2.Clinton
3.Edwards
--Tier 3---
4.Richardson

1 (tie)Huckabee/ Romney
3.McCain
--Tier 2---
4.Guliani
5.Thompson
6.Paul

I also Have new senate ratings Here they are
Safe Dem (50D,3R)
NM
NH
VA
Lean Dem ( 1R)
Co
Tossup (4R, 1D)
AK
MN
KY
MS (lott)
LA
Lean Rep (2R)
NC
TX


Friday, January 4, 2008

Wyoming and New Hampshire thoughts

4 Days to New Hampshire, 1 to Wyoming. People are now beginning to say what I have known for 2 months. Obama is the front runner to win the democratic nomination. Hillary will probably loose in New Hampshire now that Obama has won Iowa. Unless Obama does something monumentally stupid between now and February 5th he will win the nomination. Here are my rankings:

1.Obama
---2ed Tier---
2.Clinton
3. Edwards
---3ed Tier---
4.Richardson

No one Knows what's going to happen tomorrow in Wyoming. Huckabee, Guliani, and Ron Paul haven't even been there yet. Here is my rough guess (Note: this is not a final call and not scientific at all I could be entirely wrong , there is no data coming from Wyoming.)
1. Huckabee 2. Thompson 3.Romney 4. Paul 5. McCain 6. Guliani. I have no clue what's going on. Here are My Standings:
1. Huckabee
2.Romney
3. McCain
---2ed Tier---
4. Guliani
5. Thompson
---3ed Tier---
6. Paul
I'll do Results and the senate tomorrow

Thursday, January 3, 2008

Democratic Iowa Cacus results

the 2008 primary season has begun. Here are the results with 100% reporting:

X-Obama 38%
Edwards 30%
Clinton 29%
Richardson 2%
Biden 1%
Dodd 0%
Kucinich -
Gravel -

My predictions were flawless in the placing of the candidates.

The race just got a little lonelier. Joe Biden and Chris Dodd both have dropped out of the race. Who does this benefit? Obama. his polocy positions line up with these 2. Obama was the clear winner today. watching his speech I sensed a Robert Kennedy feel to him. speaking as a democrat that's what we want in a candidate. He has a huge advantage going into New Hampshire. He will be the leader by tomorrow morning He has all but sealed the nomination with his victory today. Expect Richardson to stick around to super Tuesday then drop out to run for the senate in New Mexico. Here are my new rankings excluding Kucinich and Gravel:

1. Barok Obama
---2ed Tier---
2. Hillary Clinton
3.John Edwards
---3ed Tier---
4. Bill Richardson

Republican Iowa Cacus Results

this is the day we've all been waiting for, Iowa Caucus night 2008. This Begins the primary season. this is the most important election we have ever seen. this is America. here are the results for the republicans:

X-Huckabee 34%
Romney 25%
Thompson 13%
McCain 13%
Paul 10%
Guliani 4%
Hunter 1%
93%-Reporting

These Results match exactly the placing on my Final Call. now 98% Accurate.

Expect Duncan Hunter to drop out within the next few days. Guliani is wounded. His campaign was put together very poorly. he did not emphasise the early states as he should have. Loosing to Ron Paul now confirms he has no shot at the nomination. McCain has revived him self for the 2ed time in 2 weeks. Huckabee chewed up Mitt Romney. If Romney wins New Hampshire this s a battle for the ages if not it's hard to see any one but Huckabee win, McCain could do it though here are my new Rankings:

1.Mike Huckabee
2. Mitt Romney
3.John Mccain
-----2ed Tier-----
4.Rudy Guliani
5.Fred Thompson
----3ed Tier----
6.Ron Paul
----4th Tier---
7. Duncan Hunter
8. Alan Keyes (wow! He's still running)

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Iowa Final Call (Republicans)

Iowa is tomorrow. polls close at 9:00 EST / 6:00 PST Yesterday I told you why I think Obama will win tomorrow, Today is my Predictions for the Republicans:

Final Poll:
Huckabee 32%
Romney 26%

Romney Peak 8/18/07
Romney 33%
Guliani 14%

Huckabee Peak 12/06/07
Huckabee 39%
Romney 17%

Favorable / unfavorable
Huckabee 40% / 47% (- 7%)
Romney 38% / 51% (- 13%)

2000 Results
Bush 36%
Forbes 31%
Keyes 14%
Bauer 9%
McCain 4%

X-factors
1) Republicans want the more Conservative candidate
2) no 15% thresh hold rule
3) Huckabee supporters are Passionate
4) The republican caucus is much shorter than the democrats

Final Call (Prediction)
Huckabee 36%
Romney 34%
Thompson 15%
McCain 8%
Paul 4%
Gulani 2%
Hunter 1%


Tomorrow I will Post 3 post 1 Iowa results and Analysis for each party and 1 looking ahead to New Hampshire.

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

Iowa Final Call (Democrats)

2 Days To Iowa. Here is my final Prediction for the democrats and the factors that went into that. Tomorrow I will Publish this for the Republicans. well here it is, the results of 1 year and 2 months of analyzing this race:

Final Poll
32% Obama
25% Clinton
24% Edwards

Obama's Peak 12/12
Obama 33%
Clinton 24%
Edwards 24%

Clinton's Peak 11/18
Clinton 31%
Edwards 24%
Obama 20%

Edwards Peak 10/19/06
Edwards 36%
Clinton 16%
Obama 13%

Favor ability/ Invariability Ratings (Net)
Obama 52% / 45% (+7%)
Edwards 48% / 44% (+4%)
Clinton 45% / 54% (- 9%)

2004 Results
Kerry 37%
Edwards 32%
Dean 18%
Gephart 11%

X-Factors
1) Edwards proved in 2004 he is very, very good at bringing voters out to the polls
2) Democrats Want Action
3) Clinton Supporters are probably the least likely to show up on Election Day

The Turnout Factor
1) High Independent Turnout Favors Obama and Edwards
2) High Young Voter Turn out Favors Obama

Final Call (Prediction)
Obama 35%
Edwards 32%
Clinton 25%
Richardson 4%
Biden 2%
Dodd 1%
Kucinich 1%
Gravel <1%

Final Call Track Record

2 Days Till Iowa. Later Today I will Release my Final Call for Iowa Democrats and Tomorrow for the Republicans. I have been Predicting elections since 2003 (The California Recall, I live there) in reports, I think you should Know my track record. Here it is:

2003 Recall Election (100% Accuracy)
Final Call
Predicted Winner: Schwarzenegger
Predicted Vote on the recall: 52% yes 48% No
Results
Winner: Schwarzenegger
Vote on Recall: 55% Yes 45% No

2004 Election (89.5%)
Final Call
Electoral Vote Prediction: 301 Kerry 232 Bush 5 Undecided
Senate: 53 Republican 46 Democrat 1 Left wing Independent (Jim Jeffords)
Actual Results
Electoral Vote: 286 Bush 252 Kerry
States Missed: Florida (27), Iowa (7), New Mexico (5), Ohio (20), Wisconsin (10),West Virginia (5) (Said Undecided)
Senate: 55 Rep, 44 Dem, 1 Ind
States Missed: Florida, South Deccoda

2006 Midterms ( 99%)
Final Call
Senate: 50 Dem 48 Rep 2 Ind
House : 237 Dem 198 Rep
Governors: 29 Dem 21 Rep
Results
Senate: 49 Dem 49 Rep 2 Ind
State Missed: Tennessee
House: 233 Dem 202 Rep
Not Predicted on District by district Basis
Governors: 28 Dem 22 Rep
State Missed: Minnesota

Over all Accuracy Rate: 97.97%

In my 5 years I have Never Missed an election by more than 3 points. the ones I miss I don't miss by much
I am about to post my predictions for my 693ed Election. I am Extremely accurate. My winners will Likely be the winners of the caucuses in 2 days.