tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14768325484914417562024-03-05T16:24:15.352-08:00lindsay politicsspencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.comBlogger224125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-16616510603476380502008-11-24T17:44:00.000-08:002008-11-24T17:48:50.014-08:00New Cabinet Appointement, CA-4 ProjectionObama has appointed Timothy Guither as is Sec. of the treasury, Bill Richardson as Sec of Commerce, Tom Daschel as Sec of HHS and is set to appoint Hillary Clinton as Sec. Of state.<br /><br />The stock market has soared the last two days over the news of Obama's appointment.<br /><br />We Can Now call California's Fourth District for Tom McClentock (R) this makes the House D 257 to R 176 with 2 outstanding Races (OH-15 and LA-4)spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-27327532752367810952008-11-14T15:32:00.000-08:002008-11-14T16:02:30.885-08:00MarketsThe Dow lost 338 points (3.82%) today and 449 points (Aprox. 5%) on the week. GM gained 0.6 (2.03) Ford lost 0.10 (5.26%). Google lost 0.66% and Starbucks Starbucks lost 7.52%spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-87720930309504890192008-11-14T15:27:00.000-08:002008-11-14T15:32:00.574-08:00Secratary of state short list leakedthere are 4 names on the Obama Sec. of state short list which have been leaked: Hillary Clinton, Tom Daschel, John Kerry and Bill Richardson. Most people are familiar with all four names. I Will Rank them in Likelihood:<br /><br />1. John Kerry<br />2. Bill Richardson<br />3. Tom Daschel<br />4. Hillary Clintonspencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-89636167649926846142008-11-14T14:58:00.000-08:002008-11-14T15:27:10.733-08:00Election UpdateDon Young is the Projected Victor in Alaska's lone Congressional district. He is under investigation for corruption and was polling 5-12 points back, I guess his victory can be explained by Sarah Palin's name being on the ballot. This makes The House 257 Democrats to 175 Republicans with 3 Races still out CA-4, LA-4 (which is going to a runoff) and OH-15. The GOP Leads in the two non Runoff races. The Democrats saw more voters in the LA-4 Primary. All 3 of these races could go any way.<br /><br />And Mark Begich has taken an 814 Vote lead from the Incumbent Senator and Convicted felon Ted Stevens. Five Thirty Eight is confident of a Begich Victory because of where the out standing vote comes from so I am Projecting Mark Begich will Defeat Ted Stevens. This makes the Senate 58-40.<br /><br />Minnesota's Recount is set to begin next week Coleman leads by 206 but a 300+ Vote swing is very reasonable.<br /><br />In Georgia the first runoff poll was released today which gives Chambliss a 3 point lead.<br /><br />60 May be a long shot but it's not nearly dead.<br /><br />Once Minnsesota (and hopefully some other house races) are called I will grade my final call (which was very accurate).spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-63546251062466293782008-11-08T13:24:00.000-08:002008-11-08T13:39:59.573-08:00Rise In Unemployment200,000 Jobs were lost last month and Unemployment rose .2% to 6.5% it's highest point in the last 14 Years.<br /><br />President-Elect Obama Plans to create Jobs and revenue. He Plans To pass a stimulus package as soon as he gets into office. this may include a bail out of the 3 big auto makers who's stock has fallen substantially in the last week.spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-54745623560297251532008-11-08T13:21:00.000-08:002008-11-08T13:24:05.234-08:002 Races CalledVirginia's 5th District has been called for the democrat and Washington's 8th has been called for the republican incumbant. This means 4 Races Are still Out LA-4, CA-4, AK-AL and OH-15<br /><br />The count in the House is now 257 Democrats and 174 Republicansspencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-59737792274448847862008-11-07T15:55:00.000-08:002008-11-07T15:57:48.313-08:00Dem's Gain aothr House seatCNN is Projecting that The Democrats have Picked up Maryland's 1st District. this Makes the Count: Dems 256 GOP 173. (Louisiana's 2ed is a safe Dem District)spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-18552126183461965392008-11-06T16:06:00.000-08:002008-11-06T16:09:05.328-08:00Obama's Cabnet<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Raham</span> Emanuel Has been Appointed <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Chief</span> of Staff by President-elect Obama. He has also appointed Robert Gibbs to be his Press <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Secretary</span>.spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-3795364923180979832008-11-06T15:21:00.000-08:002008-11-06T16:05:59.746-08:00Election ResultsBarack Obama is the President elect Of the United States winning with 364 Electoral Votes to John McCain's 164. Obama Picked up Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, Florida and Indiana. His Popular Vote Margin stand at 7 points (53-46). He Broke the Popular Vote Record which Was set in 2004 by Bush (previously Reagan in 1984). His Popular vote Total currently stands at 64.5 Million with 98% in, It Could rise up to 66 Million.<br /><br />The Senate is still up for grabs. It looks as though the 60 seat Majority is unobtainable but it is not yet impossible. the Senate Currently stands at 57 Democrats 40 Republicans 2 Deadlocked Races (MN and AK) and 1 runoff (GA). The Result in Alaska is not likely to be known until November 21st and Minnesota is not Likely to be known until early December. the Run Off Will be held in Georgia on December 2ed.<br /><br />The House stands at 255 Democrats 173 Republicans and 7 undecided races in WA-8, CA-4<br />AK-AL, LA-4, MD-1, VA-5 and OH-15. after this election it is evident that House Polls are far less accurate than Other Polls.<br /><br />The Democrats won one new Governor's Mansion in Missouri. Beverly Purdue Was elected In North Carolina. In Washington Christine Georgie was able to win re-election Fairly easily. The Governor's Mansions now stand at Democrats 29 Republicans 21.<br /><br />Airizona (56-44), California(51-49) and Florida (62-38) All passed bans on Gay Marrige. Arizona is interesting because in 2006 a ban on gay Marrige failed. In Califorina Gay Marrige was legal until Tuesday. 3 Law suits have already been Filed against Prop 8. Also In California Prop 4 Failed (52-48), this would have forced Doctors to notify a Minors Parents within 48 hours of an abortion taking place. In Arkansaws Initiative 1 Passed (57-43) which prohibits gay Coupples from adopting Children. South Dekota Refused to put limits on abortion by a vote of 55-45. In Colorado Amenment 48 Passed which states that Life begins at conception. also in Colorado Amendment 46 which would end afirmative action is failing 51-49 but is still too close to call, The Same bill passed in Nebraska (58-42). In Mass. a proposition failed (70-30) which would end state Income tax. Washington Voted to allow Doctor Assisted Souicides by a vote of 59-41. In Michigan Marijana has been Decriminalized by a vote of 63-37. also in Michigan Stem Cell Research passed by a vote of 53-47.spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-21631281965158929462008-11-03T21:56:00.000-08:002008-11-03T22:10:44.038-08:00First Results inDixville Notch, NH has voted, and the votes have been counted. at this hour Obama leads Obama in New Hampshire and Nationally:<br /><br />Obama 15 (71%)<br />McCain 6 (29%)<br />0% reporting<br /><br />this is only 21 votes out of an electorate of 130 Million (or roughly .0000008%). it is more symbolic than any thing. they haven't voted Democrat since 1968, but none the less at this hour it's Obama 15-6.spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-39761234893101585642008-11-03T09:36:00.001-08:002008-11-03T10:05:34.867-08:00Presidential Final CallThis is my final call, My final Prediction on the 2008 presidential election. I predict that the Barack Obama will be elected president of the united states tomorrow. I predict that the electoral count will be Obama 364 McCain 174 and that the popular vote will be Obama 52% McCain 46% Barr 2%. Here it is by state:<br /><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AL McCain by 18</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AK McCain by 18</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AZ McCain by 3</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AR McCain by 11</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">CA Obama by 22</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">CO Obama by 8</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">CT Obama by </span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">DE Obama by 23</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">DC Obama by 90</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">FL Obama by 4</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">GA MccCain by 3</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">HI Obama by 40</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">ID McCain by 37</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">IL Obama by 32</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">IN McCain by 1</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">IA Obama by 18</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KS McCain by 19</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KY McCain by 13</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">LA McCain by 11</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">ME Obama by 19</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MD Obama by 20</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MA Obama by 22</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MI Obama by 17</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MN Obama by 13</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">MS McCain by 9</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">MO Obama by 3</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">MT McCain by 2</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NE McCain by 24</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NV Obama by 6</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NH Obama by 12</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NJ Obama by 17</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NM Obama by 12</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NY Obama by 32</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NC Obama by 3 </span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">ND McCain by 1</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">OH Obama by 6</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">OK McCain by 30</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">OR Obama by 18</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">PA Obama by 9</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">RI Obama by 34</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">SC McCain by 10</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">SD McCain by 8</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TN McCain by 16</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TX McCain by 12</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">UT Mcain by 42</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">VT Obama by 33</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">VA Obama by 8 </span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">WA Obama by 12</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">WV McCain by 9</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">WI Obama by 13</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">WY McCain by 37</span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-42824897618901292182008-11-03T08:58:00.000-08:002008-11-03T09:18:49.723-08:00election Night Guide<blockquote></blockquote><blockquote></blockquote>This is my guide and time line on what to watch for tomorrow night<br /><br />Presidential<br /><br />- If Georgia is to close to call 45 Minutes after polls close the GOP is in for a long night.<br /><br />- If Virginia or North Carolina are called for Obama early in the night the election is over<br /><br />- If Pennsylvania is particularly close John McCain might have a shot.<br /><br />- Obama can stand to loose Pennsylvania as long as he wins Ohio<br /><br />- If Obama is down by 3-10 or less points in Missouri before 80% of the vote is in he will take the state<br /><br />- If Minnesota is unable to be called within 30 minutes of when polls close McCain might have a shot in the state<br /><br />- If you see a 13+ point margin for Obama in New Hampshire we are in landslide territory<br /><br />- California, Oregon or Washington will probably put Obama over 270 at 11 EST/ 8 PST<br /><br />- if McCain is not ahead at 10 EST/ 7 PST He will Loose<br /><br />- if Obama is loosing the Popular vote by 5% or less before the west closes he will still win it<br /><br />- Watch For a reverse Bradly effect in the south.<br /><br />Senate:<br /><br />- If the Democrats loose MN their Hopes of 60 are dead.<br /><br />- If the Dem's Pull Kentucky off they will reach 60<br /><br />- As long as Chambliss does not Reach 50% and they win MN it is going to December 2edspencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-84121096103969956582008-11-03T08:35:00.000-08:002008-11-03T08:46:49.188-08:00automatic callsthis is a list of sates for the non observer. These are the states (and their electoral vote count) which we can all just asume are going to go in one Direction. for example: pigs will be flying before a Democrat takes Utah (71% for Bush in 04), and it will be a cold day in hell before a republican takes Washington DC (91% for Kerry in 2004). These are a bit more adjusted to this election Cycle. The count of these is Obama 239 McCain 119<br /><br /><br /><span style="color:#000099;">Obama</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">CA-55</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">CT-7</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">DE-3</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">HI-4</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">IL-21</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">IA-7</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">ME-4</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MD-10</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MA-12</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MI-17</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MN-10</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NJ-15</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NM-5</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NY-31</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">OR-7</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">RI-4</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">VT-3</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">WA-11</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">WI-10</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;"></span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">McCain</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AL</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AK</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AR</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">ID</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KS</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KY</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">LA</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">MS</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NE</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">OK</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">SD</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TN</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TX</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">UT</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">WY</span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-30085425479800906542008-11-03T08:18:00.000-08:002008-11-03T08:35:13.252-08:00MyLiberal Election night predictionNote: This is not my official prediction, this is a scenario in which Obama over preforms because the polls are in accurate. I will make my final Call later in the day.<br /><br />if the polls are off I beleive this is what the map will look like. the electoral count would be: Obama 406 McCain 132. the Popular vote would break: Obama 54% McCain 44% Barr 2%<br /><br /><span style="color:#000099;">Obama wins:</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AZ</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">CA</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">CO</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">CT</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">DE</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">DC</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">FL</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">GA</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">HI</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">IL</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">IN</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">IA</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">ME</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MD</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MA</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MI</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;"><span style="color:#ff0000;">MO<br />MT<br />NV</span><br />NH</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NJ</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NM</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NY</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NC</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">ND</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">OH</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">OR</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">PA</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">RI</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">VT</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">VA</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">WA</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">WI</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;"></span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">McCain Wins:</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AL</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AK</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AR</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">ID</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KS</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KY</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">LA</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">MS</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NE</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">OK</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">SC</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">SD</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TN</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TX</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">UT</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">WV</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">WY</span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-80626666508458604592008-11-02T18:57:00.001-08:002008-11-02T19:38:18.351-08:00Senate Final CallThis is my final prediction on the senate. I will Predict the Presidency tomarrow. If these calls are accurate the senate will have at least 59 Democrats and 40 Republicans with one seat to be decided in a runoff on December 2ed.<br /><br /><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">AL: Sessions (R) by 32</span><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">AK: Begich (D) by 19</span></strong><br /><span style="color:#000099;">AR: Prior (D) by 100 ( unopposed)</span><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">CO: Udall (D) by 12</span></strong><br /><span style="color:#000099;">DE: Biden (D) by 40</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">GA*: Chambliss (R) 47% Martin (D) 45% Buckley (I)</span> 8%<br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">ID: Risch (R) by 21</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">IL: Durbin (D) by 23</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">IA: Harkin (D) by 21</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KS: Roberts (R) by 24</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">KY: McConell (R) by 4</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">LA: Landriue (D) by 13</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">ME: Collins (R) by 14</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MA: Kerry (D) by 19</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MI: Levin (D) by 25</span><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">MN: Frankin (D) by 3</span></strong><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">MS A: Cochran (R) by 20</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">MS B: Wicker (R) by 9</span><br /><span style="color:#000099;">MT: Bacus (D) by 36</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">NE: Johanns (R) by 17</span><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">NH: Shahhen (D) by 10</span></strong><br /><span style="color:#000099;">NJ: Launtenburg (D) by 19</span><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">NM: Udall (D) by 18</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">NC: Hagan (D) by 6</span></strong><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">OK: Inhofe (R) by 14</span><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">OR: Merkly (D) by 6</span></strong><br /><span style="color:#000099;">RI: Reed (D) by 61</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">SC: Graham (R) by 12</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">SD: Johnson (D) by 29</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TN: Alexander (R) by 22</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">TX: Cornyn (R) by 12</span><br /><strong><span style="color:#ff0000;">VA: Warner (D) by 31</span></strong><br /><span style="color:#000099;">WV: Rockefeller (D) by 20</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">WY A: Enzi (R) by 34</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;">WY B: Barosso (R) by 32</span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;"></span><br /><span style="color:#ff0000;"><span style="color:#000000;">*- if no candidate reaches 50%+1 in Georgia the election will be decided on December 2ed in a runoff</span> </span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-81984034383252114642008-11-01T16:01:00.000-07:002008-11-01T16:51:42.082-07:00Governors Final CallI predict that the new Governor count will be: 29 Democrats 21 Republicans. I predict the results as follows:<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">UT: Huntsman (R) by 60<br />ND: Hoeven (R) by 47<br />IN: Daniels (R) by 12<br />VT: Dougless (R) by 23 Reaching the 50%+1 Majority with Symington (D) in 2ed<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">MO:Nixon (D) by 17<br /></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">NC: Purdue (D) by 3</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">WA: Georgie (D) by 6<br />MT: Schweitzer (D) by 26<br />DE: Markle (D) by 33<br />WV: Manchin (D) by 39<br />NH: Lynch (D) by 48<br /></span><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span><br /></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-49093367735848140742008-11-01T15:55:00.000-07:002008-11-01T16:01:02.797-07:00Governors Poll check And RatingsI don't have new numbers or ratings today in any thing else. I am Making my final Call in the governors mansion today:<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Strong Dem (27)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">MO*: Nixon by 19</span><br /><br />Lean Dem (29)<br />WA*: Georgie by 6<br />NC*: Purdue by 4<br /><br />Tilt Dem (29)<br />None<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">Tilt GOP (21)<br />none<br /><br />Lean GOP (21)<br />None<br /><br />Strong GOP (21)<br />IN*: Daniels by 16<br /><br /><br /></span></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-61667908324426830422008-10-31T18:47:00.001-07:002008-10-31T18:55:12.326-07:00House Final CallI am Making my final call in the House. I am putting out a list of districts that I expect to switch (AKA Pick Up's for those of you who don't know political Vocab). I expect the New House to have 264 Democrats and 171 Republicans<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Democratic Pick Ups<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">AK-AL<br />AZ-1<br />FL-8<br />FL-21<br />FL-24<br />IL-10<br />IL-11<br />MI-7<br />MI-9<br />NJ-3<br />NJ-7<br />NM-1<br />NM-2<br />NY-13<br />NY-25<br />NY-29<br />NC-8<br />OH-1<br />OH-15<br />OH-16<br />VA-11<br />NV-3<br />CO-4<br />ID-1<br />CA-4<br />CA-46<br />MN-3<br />MN-6<br />PA-3<br />CT-4<br />WA-8<br /><br />Republican Pickups<br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">PA-11<br />TX-22<br />FL-16<br /></span></span></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-80316028645445889872008-10-31T18:12:00.000-07:002008-10-31T18:19:53.797-07:00Final Calls- 1 1/2 Senate 2 PresidentIn the Senate: I am calling North Carolina for the Democrat Kay Hagan. this gives the Democrats a 58-39 Advantage. I am also Calling Georgia in a sense. If no candidate reaches 50% there will b a run off on December 2ed. No Candidate will reach 50%<br /><br />I am Calling North Carolina and Florida for Obama. This put's the Count at Obama 353- McCain 132<br /><br />The Following Races have yet to be Called:<br />Governors: NC<br />Senate: MN, KY, GA*<br />President: AZ, ND, MT, IN, MO, GAspencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-2932823065243421442008-10-31T17:35:00.000-07:002008-10-31T18:12:12.978-07:00Presidential Poll check and race Ratings<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Strong Obama (311)<br />PA*: Obama by 11<br />NH*: Obama by 12<br />WI*: Obama by 13<br />MN*: Obama by 16<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">IA*: Obama by 15</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">NM*: Obama by 15</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">VA*: Obama by 8</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">OH*: Obama by 7</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">CO*: Obama by 8</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">NV*: Obama by 7</span><br /><br />Lean Obama (353)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">NC*: Obama by 4</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">FL*: Obama by 4</span><br /><br />Tilt Obama (375)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">IN: Obama by 0.3</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">MO: Obama by 0.6<br /><br />Tilt McCain (163)<br />ND: McCain by 0.2<br />MT: McCain by 2.5<br />GA: McCain by 1.5<br />AZ: McCain by 1.0<br /><br />Lean McCain (132)<br /> None<br /><br />Strong McCain (132)<br />MS*: McCain by 10<br />SD*: McCain by 8<br />SC*: McCain by 9<br />WV*: McCain by 9<br /></span></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-60593789666053286932008-10-31T17:01:00.000-07:002008-10-31T17:33:39.382-07:00Senate Poll check And Ratings<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Strong Democrat (57)<br />LA*: Landriue by 16<br />NJ*: Launtenburg by 15<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">VA*: Warner by 28</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">NM*: Udall by 18</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">AK*: Begich by 16</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">CO*: Udall by 13</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">NH*: Shaheen by 11</span><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">NC*: Hagan by 9</span><br /><br />Lean Dem (58)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">OR*: Merkly by 7</span><br /><br />Tilt Dem (59)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">MN: Frankin by 2.3<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">Special rating: Likely Runoff (1)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">GA#: Chambliss by 1.3 or 47-46-6<br /><br />Tilt GOP (40)<br />KY: McConel by 2.7<br /><br />Lean GOP (39)<br />None<br /><br />Strong GOP (39)<br />TX*: Cornyn by 11<br />MS*: Wicker by 11<br />ME*: Collins by 13<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">*- Already called<br />#- Georgia is called such that no candidate will reach 50% and it will thus go to a runoff on December 2ed<br /></span></span></span></span></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-81945847107809615612008-10-31T16:50:00.000-07:002008-10-31T17:00:54.819-07:00New Governors poll check and Ratings<span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">Missouri*</span>- this one has been over for a while. Nixon (D) leads by 17 points. <span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Strong Dem<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">Indiana*<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">- though people thought this might be competitive for a while it isn't Daniels leads by 16<span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);"> Strong GOP<br /><br /></span> <span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Washington*- <span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"> Though this one tightened after the GOP Convention it looks like the Democrats are going to hold on. Georgie (D) leads by 5.6</span> Lean Democrat<br /><br />North Carolina<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">- Purdue Leads by 2.3. I'm not ready to call this one yet but it leans in th democrats Direction. <span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Lean Democrat<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">*- Already Called<br /><br />Called: D 28 GOP 21<br />Strong: D 27 GOP 21<br />Lean: D 29 GOP 21<br />Tilt: D 29 GOP 21<br /></span></span></span></span></span></span></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-19099990972682628222008-10-29T18:07:00.000-07:002008-10-29T18:14:25.495-07:00Final CallsIn the Presidential Race I have 2 calls; one favoring each candidate. I am calling Nevada For Obama and West Virginia for McCain this brings the electoral count to Obama 338 McCain 142<br /><br />In the senate I have 3 calls. I am Calling Oregon for Merkly (D), Alaska for Begich (D) and Mississippi for Wicker (R) this brings the senate to 57 Democrats and 39 Republicans.<br /><br />I am calling Washington's Governors Race for Chrisine Georgie but will keep you updated on it. that makes the count Democrats 28 Republicans 21.<br /><br />I am changing my popular vote prediction to Obama 53% McCain 46% Barr 1%spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-22194884952879851392008-10-29T17:44:00.000-07:002008-10-29T18:15:18.975-07:00Presidential Poll check and race Ratings<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Strong Obama (306)<br />PA*: Obama by 11<br />WI*: Obama by 12<br />MN*: Obama by 16<br />NH*: Obama by 19<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">IA*: Obama by 12<br />NM*: Obama by 11<br />VA*: Obama by 9<br />CO*: Obama by 9<br />OH*: Obama by 8<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Lean Obama (338)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">NV*: Obama by 7</span></span><br />FL: Obama by 4<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Tilt Obama (378)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">IN: Obama by 3.0<br />NC: Obama by 2.4<br />ND: Obama by 1.7<br />MO: Obama by 0.7<br /><br />Tilt McCain (160)<br />MT: McCain by 0.3<br />GA: McCain by 1.7<br /><br />Lean McCain (142)<br />AZ: McCain by 4<br /><br />Strong McCain (132)<br />WV*: McCain by 8<br />MS*: McCain by 10<br />SD*: McCain by 8<br />AR*: McCain by 11<br /></span></span></span><br /></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1476832548491441756.post-11796589605310944262008-10-29T16:51:00.000-07:002008-10-29T18:14:50.543-07:00Senate Poll check And Ratings<span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Strong Democrat (56)<br />NJ*: Launtenburg by 19<br />LA*: Landriue by 16<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">VA*: Warner by 31<br />NM*: Udall by 19<br />CO*: Udall by 11<br />NH*: Shaheen by 10<br />AK*: Begich by 10<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Lean Democrat (58)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">OR*: Merkly by 7<br />NC: Hagan by 3<br /><br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 153);">Tilt Democrat (59)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">MN: Frankin by 2.0<br /><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><br />Special Rating: Likely Runoff (1)<br /><span style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">GA: Chamblis by 1.5 or 45-44<br /><br /><br />Tilt GOP (40)<br />KY: McConnell by 2.7</span></span></span></span><br /><br />Lean GOP (39)<br />None<br /><br />Strong GOP (39)<br />MS*: Wicker By 12<br />TX*: Cornyn by 15<br />ME*: Collins by 15<br /></span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">*- Already called</span><br /></span></span></span>spencer lindsayhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04757673928465138841noreply@blogger.com0