New Hampshire Final Call (Democrats)

Final Poll
Obama 41%
Clinton 28%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 6%

Obama peak 1/6
Obama 41%
Clinton 28%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 6%

Clinton Peak 9/10
Clinton 35%
Obama 16%
Edwards 16%
Richardson 8%

Net Favorability
Obama +7%
Edwards +4%
Richardson - 2%
Clinton -9%

2004 Results
Kerry 39%
Dean 26%
Clark 13%
Edwards 12%
Leiberman 9%

X-Factor
1) Obama is exciting voters in a way no one has since RFK.
2) Independents can Vote so This Favors Obama (according to polls Independents are voting in the democratic Primary 2:1 or 63%- 37%)
3) Edwards didn't do to well last time (13%-4th)
4) If Clinton cant win here where can she

Turnout factor
1) The higher the Independent vote is the more Obama will win by

Final Call
Obama 47%
Clinton 31%
Edwards 19%
Richardson 2%
Kucinich 1%