Friday, January 18, 2008

Nevada Final Call (Democrats)

Final Poll
Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%

Obama Peak 1/13
Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%

Clinton Peak 11/9
Clinton 51%
Obama 23%
Edwards 11%

Edwards Peak 1/13
Obama 32%
Clinton 30%
Edwards 27%

2004 Results
Kerry 63%
Dean 17%
Edwards 10%

Favorability
Edwards +6%
Obama +3%
Clinton -1%

X- Factors
1) Obama helped by key union endorsements
2) Edwards won debate

Turn out say
1) Caucus system (open ballots / threshold)

Final Call
Obama 35%
Clinton 32%
Edwards 30%
Kucinich 3%

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