Monday, November 24, 2008

New Cabinet Appointement, CA-4 Projection

Obama has appointed Timothy Guither as is Sec. of the treasury, Bill Richardson as Sec of Commerce, Tom Daschel as Sec of HHS and is set to appoint Hillary Clinton as Sec. Of state.

The stock market has soared the last two days over the news of Obama's appointment.

We Can Now call California's Fourth District for Tom McClentock (R) this makes the House D 257 to R 176 with 2 outstanding Races (OH-15 and LA-4)

Friday, November 14, 2008


The Dow lost 338 points (3.82%) today and 449 points (Aprox. 5%) on the week. GM gained 0.6 (2.03) Ford lost 0.10 (5.26%). Google lost 0.66% and Starbucks Starbucks lost 7.52%

Secratary of state short list leaked

there are 4 names on the Obama Sec. of state short list which have been leaked: Hillary Clinton, Tom Daschel, John Kerry and Bill Richardson. Most people are familiar with all four names. I Will Rank them in Likelihood:

1. John Kerry
2. Bill Richardson
3. Tom Daschel
4. Hillary Clinton

Election Update

Don Young is the Projected Victor in Alaska's lone Congressional district. He is under investigation for corruption and was polling 5-12 points back, I guess his victory can be explained by Sarah Palin's name being on the ballot. This makes The House 257 Democrats to 175 Republicans with 3 Races still out CA-4, LA-4 (which is going to a runoff) and OH-15. The GOP Leads in the two non Runoff races. The Democrats saw more voters in the LA-4 Primary. All 3 of these races could go any way.

And Mark Begich has taken an 814 Vote lead from the Incumbent Senator and Convicted felon Ted Stevens. Five Thirty Eight is confident of a Begich Victory because of where the out standing vote comes from so I am Projecting Mark Begich will Defeat Ted Stevens. This makes the Senate 58-40.

Minnesota's Recount is set to begin next week Coleman leads by 206 but a 300+ Vote swing is very reasonable.

In Georgia the first runoff poll was released today which gives Chambliss a 3 point lead.

60 May be a long shot but it's not nearly dead.

Once Minnsesota (and hopefully some other house races) are called I will grade my final call (which was very accurate).

Saturday, November 8, 2008

Rise In Unemployment

200,000 Jobs were lost last month and Unemployment rose .2% to 6.5% it's highest point in the last 14 Years.

President-Elect Obama Plans to create Jobs and revenue. He Plans To pass a stimulus package as soon as he gets into office. this may include a bail out of the 3 big auto makers who's stock has fallen substantially in the last week.

2 Races Called

Virginia's 5th District has been called for the democrat and Washington's 8th has been called for the republican incumbant. This means 4 Races Are still Out LA-4, CA-4, AK-AL and OH-15

The count in the House is now 257 Democrats and 174 Republicans

Friday, November 7, 2008

Dem's Gain aothr House seat

CNN is Projecting that The Democrats have Picked up Maryland's 1st District. this Makes the Count: Dems 256 GOP 173. (Louisiana's 2ed is a safe Dem District)