Iowa Final Call (Democrats)

2 Days To Iowa. Here is my final Prediction for the democrats and the factors that went into that. Tomorrow I will Publish this for the Republicans. well here it is, the results of 1 year and 2 months of analyzing this race:

Final Poll
32% Obama
25% Clinton
24% Edwards

Obama's Peak 12/12
Obama 33%
Clinton 24%
Edwards 24%

Clinton's Peak 11/18
Clinton 31%
Edwards 24%
Obama 20%

Edwards Peak 10/19/06
Edwards 36%
Clinton 16%
Obama 13%

Favor ability/ Invariability Ratings (Net)
Obama 52% / 45% (+7%)
Edwards 48% / 44% (+4%)
Clinton 45% / 54% (- 9%)

2004 Results
Kerry 37%
Edwards 32%
Dean 18%
Gephart 11%

X-Factors
1) Edwards proved in 2004 he is very, very good at bringing voters out to the polls
2) Democrats Want Action
3) Clinton Supporters are probably the least likely to show up on Election Day

The Turnout Factor
1) High Independent Turnout Favors Obama and Edwards
2) High Young Voter Turn out Favors Obama

Final Call (Prediction)
Obama 35%
Edwards 32%
Clinton 25%
Richardson 4%
Biden 2%
Dodd 1%
Kucinich 1%
Gravel <1%