Monday, January 7, 2008

New Hampshire Final Call (Republicans)

Final Poll
McCain 34%
Romney 30%
Huckabee 13%
Paul 8%
Guliani 8%
Thompson 3%

McCain Peak 1/6
McCain 35%
Romney 27%

Romney Peak 12/3
Romney 37%
McCain 20%

Net Favorability
McCain +16%
Romney - 13%

2000 Results
McCain 49%
Bush 30%
Forbes 13%
Keyes 6%

X-Factors
1) Ind. Favor McCain (37% of Ind. voting Rep)
2) Romney Was in MA

Turnout
1) Higher Ind. turnout favors McCain

Final Call
McCain 40%
Romney 31%
Huckabee 13%
Paul 10%
Guliani 6%
Thompson 1%
Hunter < 1%

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