Friday, May 2, 2008

IN,NC Polls, New Senate Ratings

First things first lets look at the Presidential race:
In Indiana Hillary Clinton Appears to have taken a slight lead over Obama . If she wins she will stay in the race. Obama however still has a weekend to stop her momentum. She is still far behind in NC, Lets take a look at the Rasmussen + Zogby numbers:
NC
Obama 49.5%
Clinton 37%
IN
Clinton 44%
Obama 41.5%
IN will be close Obama should take NC easily

Senate
We have started to see the senate races Begin to become serious. Barring a scandal or two we now know basically what the competitive races will be. Mary Landreu has taken an advantage in Louisiana. Mitch McConell has not yet found major competition but the Dems could bring him down. Here are my Ratings (Pickups in Bold ,Lean and Tossups are ordered based on Likeliness to go Dem, *- Special election):
Safe Democrat
MA
RI
NJ
DE
WV
VA
MI
IA
IL
AR
NM
SD
MT
Lean Democrat
NH
LA
Tossup
CO (Tilt Dem)
AK
MN
MS* (Tilt GOP)
Lean GOP
KY (Reserved)
OR
NC

TX

ME
Safe GOP
ID
WY
WY*
MS
NE
KS
OK
TN
GA
SC
AL

Safe
Dem 52
GOP 37
Lean
Dem 54
GOP 42
Tilt
Dem 55
GOP 43
Pure Tossup 2

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