Thursday, July 10, 2008

New House Ratings

I have the House Finally figured out. This could be a worse year for them than the GOP is anticipating.

Here are my new Ratings:

Safe Democrat (201 Dem 201):
CO-3
VT-AL
NH-2
MN-1
IN-7
CA-18
PA-10
AR-1
FL-22

Favored Democrat (211 Dem, 2 GOP 213):
CO-7
ME-1
CT-2
CT-5
KS-2
IN-8
IN-2
OH-18
CA-47
AL-5
AR-2
KY-3

IL-11

NY-13

Lean Democrat (229 Dem, 12 GOP 241)
MA-5
AZ-8
TX-23
IA-2
IA-3
WI-8
IN-9
IL-14
IL-8
PA-4
PA-8
NY-19
NY-20
NY-24
GA-12
LA-6
NC-11
MS-1

CO-4
NM-1
OH-15
OH-16
AK-AL
NJ-3
NJ-7
NY-25
AL-2
VA-11

Tossup/ Tilt Democrat (234 Dem, 22 GOP 256)
NH-1
OR-5
CA-11
PA-11
GA-8

KY-2
WY-AL
CT-4
MN-3
MI-7
OH-1
OH-7
CA-4
NY-26
NC-8

Tossup/ Tilt GOP (177 GOP, 2 Dem 179)
FL-25
FL-8
NV-3
AZ-3
IL-6
OH-2
OH-5
WA-8
NJ-5
LA-4

FL-16
TX-22

Lean GOP (167 GOP 167)
ID-1
TX-10
NE-2
MO-6
MN-6
MI-8
MI-9
MI-11
WA-5
MD-1
PA-6
PA-15
PA-18
NY-29
WV-2
FL-9
FL-13
FL-15
FL-21

Favored GOP (150 GOP 150)
CO-6
NV-2
NM-2
AZ-2
MO-9
MN-2
IN-3
IL-10
IL-18
IL-13
IL-15
IL-17
OH-3
OH-12
OH-14
CA-44
CA-45
CA-46
CA-50
CA-52
PA-3
NY-3
AL-3
IA-4
VA-2
VA-5
VA-10
FL-18

Safe GOP (122 GOP 122)
MI-3
MI-6
CA-3
CA-26
NC-10
FL-24

The GOP is down to just 122 safe seats as opposed to Democrats 201. My over all Caricaturization of the house is safe Democrat. If the Democrats can tap into the races that are Favored or Leaning GOP. If Scandals happen the same way they did in 2006, you could see the Democrats getting the GOP down to maybe as little as 100 seats. watch all Leaning or tossup races.

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