Sunday, December 2, 2007

I am rating all 2008 elections as well as Giving my Opinion on Each race.


1. the Race For President

Hillary Clinton will not win the nomination for the democrats nor will Rudy Guliani for the Republicans. The winner will most likely be the winners of Iowa and failing that the winner of the early primaries. Neither Hillary or Guliani have the amount of support or the type of support to win the Iowa caucuses . Hillary lost a major advantage this week when the DNC stripped Michigan of it's 145 Delegates to the convention. The race in each party is between the "honest city slicker" (Barak Obama (Dem) and Mitt Romney (Rep)) and the "grass roots fighter for the middle class" (John Edwards (Dem) and Mike Huccabee (rep) here are my ratings:
Democrats
1.Obama
2.Edwards
3.Clinton
Tier separation
4.Biden
5. Dodd
6.Ricardson
Tier separation
7.Kucinich
8.Gravel

Republicans
1. Romney
Tier separation
2. Thompson
3. Huccabee
Tier Separation
4. Guliani
5. Mccain
6. Paul
Tier Separation
7. Hunter
8. Tenchredo
9. Keyes
November Prediction
Obama -(VP) Edwards 400
Romney- Kyl 138


2. The senate
the Republicans have already lost the senate. They have a chance for 1 pickup in Louisiana. The democrats have already Insured 1 pickup in VA. the Republican minority leader is only talking about warding off Blows and is worrying about his own seat in Kentucky. The democrats could potentially win a Veto Proof majority Here are My Ratings


Safe Dem (50D 1R )
Arkansans
Delaware#
Illinois
Iowa
Massachusetts
Michigan
Montana
New Jersey
Rode Island
South Decoda
Virginia*
West Virginia
Favored Dem ( 1D 2R)
Louisiana
New Hampshire
New Mexico*
Lean Dem (0D 1R)
Colorado*
Toss up (0D,2R)
Minnesota
Kentucky
Lean Republican ( 0D 3R)
Alaska#
North Carolina
Oregon
Republican Favored (0D 7R)
Idaho*
Maine
Mississippi(Lott)*^
Nebraska
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Texas
Safe Rep(32R 0D)
Alabama
Kansas
Mississippi (Cochran)
South Carolina
Wyoming (Enzi)
Wyoming (Barrosa)

Rankings of Switch likely hood
1.VA
2.NH
3.NM
4.CO
5.MN
6.KY
7.AK
8.NC
9.OR
10.NE
11.GA
12.TN
13.MS^
14.LA
15.TX
November Prediction
59 Dem

41 Rep

3.the House
The House is too Complex to even begin to explain here are my ratings
Lean Dem Pickup - 2
OH 15*
CT-3#
Dem held Tossups-5
TX 22
FL 16
KS 2
IA 1
IN 7
Republican held Tossups -8
OH 2*
FL 13
AZ 1*
VA 2*
IL 14*
WA 8
WY AL
AK AL

Total
Dem 230
Rep 192
Toss up 13
4.Governors Ratings
Safe Dem (3D)
Montana
Delaware
New Jersey

Favored Dem (1D 1R)
Missouri
North Carolina
Lean Dem
None
Tossup (1D)
Washington
Lean Rep(1R)
Indiana
Favored Rep(1R)
Vermont
Safe Rep (2R)
Utah
North Decoda


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