Friday, March 7, 2008

Mini Tuesday results and Wyoming Final Call

1 Day to Wyoming.

McCain Clinched the Gop Nomination on Tuesday
sweeping the primaries (RI 65-22, TX 51-38, OH 60-31 VT 72-14) Mike Huckabee
dropped out as pledged. on his short list for his VP slot probably looks something like this:
1. Mike Huckabee (R-AR)
2. Mark Sanford (R-SC)
3. Charlie Christ (R-FL)
4. Fred Thompson (R-TN)
5. Rudy Guiliani (R-NY)
6. Joe Lieberman (I-CT)
7. Tom Coburn (R-OK) (cringe)
8. John Sununu (R-NH)
9. Mitch McConel (R-KY)
10. Mitt Romney (R-MA) (Cringe)

all of these guys have their pro's & cons for McCain, He wants someone conservatives will like. he might want some one from New England to be aggressive on the Dems in states like PA, NH,NJ,CT and ME for witch he might want Romney, Guiliani or Sununu or lieberman. He might want someone from the south to ward off democratic blows and re-affirm states like NC, SC, TN,VA, FL, AR and MO for witch he would pick Huckabee, Thompson, Sanford, Christ, Guiliani, McConel or Coburn. He way want to take Mitch McConel out of his seat and get someone more centrist like Lamar Alexander. He may want a "true Conservative to keep right whingers from staying at home like McConel, Romney, Coburn, Thompson, Huckabee or Sanford or he may want someone to "prove that he's a mavric" Lieberman, Sununu, Guiliani, Christ or Huckabee. Huckabee appears to be the best choice because of
1. The south
2. Conservatives
3. Centrists
4. he's out of office
5. would do best for McCain's electability
His 2ed place showing didn't hurt him

For the Democrats Obama has all but clinched the nomination. according to my estimate Hillary needs 70% of delegates in states she will win ( just WV, PA & KY) other estimates have that number as high as 80%. If Michigan re-votes Obama will Probably win and if Florida re-votes Hillary will win by less than she did the 1st time. SUPER DELEGATES WILL NOT OVER TURN THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE !!! it simply won't happen. There was a survey USA poll that came out yesterday with the Electoral collage Numbers. Obama does really well in the upper Midwest. Look for states like SD, MT, NE, ND, OK and TX to be competitive if Obama wins. Here Were the results on Tuesday
VT Obama 60%-39%
OH Clinton 55-44
RI Clinton 58-40
TX (P) Clinton 51-48
TX (C) Obama 56-44
My final call for Wyoming is:
Obama 68%
Clinton 32%

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