Saturday, August 9, 2008

New Senate Poll check and Ratings

Poll Check
LA- Landriue (D) By 6
NJ-Launtenberg (D) by 15
AK-Begich (D) by 17
CO- Udall (D) By 7
KS-Roberts (R) by 28
KY-McConell (R) by 9.3
ME-Collins (R) by 10
MN- Coleman (R) by 6
MS- Wicker (R) by 5
NH- Shaheen (D) by 14
NM-Udall (D) by 27.3
NC- Dole (R) by 8.5
OR- Smith (R) by 3
TX- Cornyn (R) by 4.5
VA- Warner (D) by 24

Ratings:
Strong Dem (55: 50 D 5 R)
NJ
AK
CO
VA
NM
NH

Lean Dem (56: 51 D 5 R)
LA

Tilt Dem (57: 51 D 6 R)
MS

Tilt GOP (43: 43 R)
TX
OR
MN

Lean GOP (40: 40R)
NC
KY
ME

Strong GOP (37: 37 R)
KS

Taken Off Watch: Kansas
Races To Watch: Oregon, Mississippi & Minnesota

Mississippi is an interesting race. The seat opened when Trent Lott Resigned. Watch the African American Turn out. 42% of Mississippi is black and if they turn out and vote, the Democrats Will do better than they are polling.

Gordon Smith is a Moderate Republican, He has ran adds Praising Obama and has not yet endorsed McCain. Some could argue that he votes with the democrats the majority of the time. this race will stay close. His Chalenger Merleky was ahead for a short time. My guess is that smith will come out the winner but it's any ones game.

Minnesota is Fluctuating. Franken wasn't helped much by the Edwards Affair (Edwards Campaigned with him earlier in the week) but it should have a slim to nil effect. it will fluctuate right up till the end. it's way too early to make any predictions on this race.


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