New Presidential Ratings and Poll Check

Drastic Changes have been Made to my Electoral Map Favoring Obama. here are some Recent polls:
PA: Obama By 12
FL: Obama by 4.5
NH: Obama by 11
OH: Obama by 8.7
WI: Obama by 11
VA: Obama by 1.5
CO: Obama by 4
MI: Obama by 3
MO:Obama by 1.5
NM: Obama by 9
MN: Obama by 7
NV: McCain by 2.5
GA: McCain by 1
IA: Obama by 7
IN: Obama by 1
LA: McCain by 9
MS: McCain by 6
MT: McCain by 5
NC: McCain by 2
OR: Obama by 8
TX: McCain by 13
AK: McCain by 4

Here are my new Ratings:
Safe Obama (225):
CA
WA
OR
MN
IL
ME
NH
VT
HI
DC
DE
MD
PA
NJ
NY
CT
MA
RI

Lean Obama (276)
WI
IA
CO
NM
OH

Tossup (Tilt Obama) (393)
MI
MO
NV
IN
VA
NC
FL
GA
AK

Tossup (Tilt McCain) (145)
MS
SC
ND
MT

Lean McCain (125)
TX
AR
LA
WV
SD

Safe McCain (68)
ID
UT
WY
AZ
NE
KS
OK
AL
KY
TN

Races To Watch: Florida, Georgia, Michigan, South Carolina and Indiana

In Florida Obama has Taken a slight lead over McCain while no one was watching. McCain's Off Shore drilling stance could cost him some votes Down there. Florida has been a key to GOP victory the last two elections and if the democrats win it, without substitution Obama will win, Period. The Primary Ordeal hurt the democrats and it is one of the few states where McCain has out raised Obama. If Florida goes to Obama McCain has no Hope.

Indiana remains Deadlocked. Obama holds his one point lead. this state is typically reliably republican but this year is an exception. in 2006 3 house seats changed control and an Obama win can put it in the tossup category for a long time to come. here is a real Democratic Opportunity.

South Carolina is the one state left in the 5 state belt (that is VA, NC, SC, GA and FL) of democratic Optimism that is still going to McCain. if the GOP looses 2-3 States in that belt they will loose the election.

Georgia has become a Subject of the Barr Effect. Bob Barr is Drawing 8% of the vote and has shrunken the McCain lead to 1. Because of the way Obama has changed the electorate it is in his hands right now. It could quickly fall out of them but if it doesn't The Democrats are in for a wild ride.

Michigan is the lone Kerry Tossup. It has suffered because of the primary incident but it remains, as of now, an Obama State. He has been Making an effort to get it to lean toward him, Both Edwards and Gore endorsed him there and it looks as though the fruits of his labor may soon pay off. If Both Michigan and Wisconsin go to Obama the GOP will have a very hard time finding a place to win from.


Here is my map without tossups



Here is My Map With Tossups