Pennsylvania, Presidential Ratings and The state of the Democraric nomination

Clinton Won Pennsylvania as expected but by 9 points a larger margin than we predicted. The results were:
Clinton 54%
Obama 45%
Obama did have a victory in the sense that Hillary is now broke going into May 6th. If Obama wins North Car.(as expected) and Indiana she will probably drop out. My Numbers in the next two are:
N.C.
Obama 51.7%
Clinton 34%
I.N.
Obama 44.75%
Clinton 41.25%

Presidential Ratings:Light Red or Blue = Lean, Dark Red or Blue = Safe, Green = Tossup
I have gone to the two category systam (Lean and Safe). Indiana has now become a tossup, which I was expecting to happen much later. Here are My Ratings(*- Change Vrs. 2004):
Safe (Obama 183 McCain 107)
HI-4
WA-11
CA-55
IL-21
MD-10
DC-3
DE-3
NJ-15
CT-7
RI-4
MA-12
VT-3
ME-4
NY-31


WV-5
KY-8
TN-11
GA-15
AL-9
MS-6
LA-9
AR-6
OK-7
KS-6
AZ-10
WY-3
UT-5
ID-4
Lean (Obama 264 McCain 190)
PA-21
MI-17
WI-10
MN-10
IA-7* CO-7*
OR-7

FL-27
SC-8
SD-3
TX-34
ND-3
NE-5
MT-3
AK-3
Tossup (84 (2004:Bush 80 Kerry 4))
NH-4
OH-20
IN-11
VA-13
NC-15
NM-5
NV-5


The State Of The Democratic Nomination:
Hillary Clinton has no shot of winning states, the Popular vote or the Pledged delegate count. The super delegates will not over turn the will of the people, so unless Obama screws up bad, He will be the nominee.

Pennsylvainia Final Call, New House Predictions

Pennsylvania

Obama has been Moving Up quickly in Pennsylvania. Despite this he has not been able to cut into the lead. thus I am Predicting that Clinton Will Win Tuesday. Here is my Full prediction:
Clinton 51%
Obama 47%
Other 2%
Chris Mathews is saying she needs an 8 point win to stay in the race and it does not look like she will be able to do that. If Obama wins Hillary is Out, But Obama Him self Recognizes that that is Unlikely.

House Predictions
I have decided Not to rate the House races in 2008 and instead to simply predict them Ether Blue or Red. Due to GOP Retirements, Fatigue and scandals the democrats will probably hold the house in 2008. Here are My Predictions
Democratic Pickups
CA-4
WA-8
AZ-1
NM-1
LA-6
IL-10
IL-11
OH-2
OH-16
NJ-3
NJ-7
CT-4
NY-25
NY-26
GOP Pickups
KS-2
AL-5
GA-12
TX-22

The House would be
Democrats 244
Republicans 291