Presidential Final Call

This is my final call, My final Prediction on the 2008 presidential election. I predict that the Barack Obama will be elected president of the united states tomorrow. I predict that the electoral count will be Obama 364 McCain 174 and that the popular vote will be Obama 52% McCain 46% Barr 2%. Here it is by state:

AL McCain by 18
AK McCain by 18
AZ McCain by 3
AR McCain by 11
CA Obama by 22
CO Obama by 8
CT Obama by
DE Obama by 23
DC Obama by 90
FL Obama by 4
GA MccCain by 3
HI Obama by 40
ID McCain by 37
IL Obama by 32
IN McCain by 1
IA Obama by 18
KS McCain by 19
KY McCain by 13
LA McCain by 11
ME Obama by 19
MD Obama by 20
MA Obama by 22
MI Obama by 17
MN Obama by 13
MS McCain by 9
MO Obama by 3
MT McCain by 2
NE McCain by 24
NV Obama by 6
NH Obama by 12
NJ Obama by 17
NM Obama by 12
NY Obama by 32
NC Obama by 3
ND McCain by 1
OH Obama by 6
OK McCain by 30
OR Obama by 18
PA Obama by 9
RI Obama by 34
SC McCain by 10
SD McCain by 8
TN McCain by 16
TX McCain by 12
UT Mcain by 42
VT Obama by 33
VA Obama by 8
WA Obama by 12
WV McCain by 9
WI Obama by 13
WY McCain by 37

election Night Guide

This is my guide and time line on what to watch for tomorrow night

Presidential

- If Georgia is to close to call 45 Minutes after polls close the GOP is in for a long night.

- If Virginia or North Carolina are called for Obama early in the night the election is over

- If Pennsylvania is particularly close John McCain might have a shot.

- Obama can stand to loose Pennsylvania as long as he wins Ohio

- If Obama is down by 3-10 or less points in Missouri before 80% of the vote is in he will take the state

- If Minnesota is unable to be called within 30 minutes of when polls close McCain might have a shot in the state

- If you see a 13+ point margin for Obama in New Hampshire we are in landslide territory

- California, Oregon or Washington will probably put Obama over 270 at 11 EST/ 8 PST

- if McCain is not ahead at 10 EST/ 7 PST He will Loose

- if Obama is loosing the Popular vote by 5% or less before the west closes he will still win it

- Watch For a reverse Bradly effect in the south.

Senate:

- If the Democrats loose MN their Hopes of 60 are dead.

- If the Dem's Pull Kentucky off they will reach 60

- As long as Chambliss does not Reach 50% and they win MN it is going to December 2ed

automatic calls

this is a list of sates for the non observer. These are the states (and their electoral vote count) which we can all just asume are going to go in one Direction. for example: pigs will be flying before a Democrat takes Utah (71% for Bush in 04), and it will be a cold day in hell before a republican takes Washington DC (91% for Kerry in 2004). These are a bit more adjusted to this election Cycle. The count of these is Obama 239 McCain 119


Obama
CA-55
CT-7
DE-3
HI-4
IL-21
IA-7
ME-4
MD-10
MA-12
MI-17
MN-10
NJ-15
NM-5
NY-31
OR-7
RI-4
VT-3
WA-11
WI-10

McCain
AL
AK
AR
ID
KS
KY
LA
MS
NE
OK
SD
TN
TX
UT
WY

MyLiberal Election night prediction

Note: This is not my official prediction, this is a scenario in which Obama over preforms because the polls are in accurate. I will make my final Call later in the day.

if the polls are off I beleive this is what the map will look like. the electoral count would be: Obama 406 McCain 132. the Popular vote would break: Obama 54% McCain 44% Barr 2%

Obama wins:
AZ
CA
CO
CT
DE
DC
FL
GA
HI
IL
IN
IA
ME
MD
MA
MI
MO
MT
NV
NH
NJ
NM
NY
NC
ND
OH
OR
PA
RI
VT
VA
WA
WI

McCain Wins:
AL
AK
AR
ID
KS
KY
LA
MS
NE
OK
SC
SD
TN
TX
UT
WV
WY

Senate Final Call

This is my final prediction on the senate. I will Predict the Presidency tomarrow. If these calls are accurate the senate will have at least 59 Democrats and 40 Republicans with one seat to be decided in a runoff on December 2ed.


AL: Sessions (R) by 32
AK: Begich (D) by 19
AR: Prior (D) by 100 ( unopposed)
CO: Udall (D) by 12
DE: Biden (D) by 40
GA*: Chambliss (R) 47% Martin (D) 45% Buckley (I) 8%
ID: Risch (R) by 21
IL: Durbin (D) by 23
IA: Harkin (D) by 21
KS: Roberts (R) by 24
KY: McConell (R) by 4
LA: Landriue (D) by 13
ME: Collins (R) by 14
MA: Kerry (D) by 19
MI: Levin (D) by 25
MN: Frankin (D) by 3
MS A: Cochran (R) by 20
MS B: Wicker (R) by 9
MT: Bacus (D) by 36
NE: Johanns (R) by 17
NH: Shahhen (D) by 10
NJ: Launtenburg (D) by 19
NM: Udall (D) by 18
NC: Hagan (D) by 6
OK: Inhofe (R) by 14
OR: Merkly (D) by 6
RI: Reed (D) by 61
SC: Graham (R) by 12
SD: Johnson (D) by 29
TN: Alexander (R) by 22
TX: Cornyn (R) by 12
VA: Warner (D) by 31
WV: Rockefeller (D) by 20
WY A: Enzi (R) by 34
WY B: Barosso (R) by 32

*- if no candidate reaches 50%+1 in Georgia the election will be decided on December 2ed in a runoff

Governors Final Call

I predict that the new Governor count will be: 29 Democrats 21 Republicans. I predict the results as follows:

UT: Huntsman (R) by 60
ND: Hoeven (R) by 47
IN: Daniels (R) by 12
VT: Dougless (R) by 23 Reaching the 50%+1 Majority with Symington (D) in 2ed
MO:Nixon (D) by 17
NC: Purdue (D) by 3
WA: Georgie (D) by 6
MT: Schweitzer (D) by 26
DE: Markle (D) by 33
WV: Manchin (D) by 39
NH: Lynch (D) by 48

Governors Poll check And Ratings

I don't have new numbers or ratings today in any thing else. I am Making my final Call in the governors mansion today:

Strong Dem (27)
MO*: Nixon by 19

Lean Dem (29)
WA*: Georgie by 6
NC*: Purdue by 4

Tilt Dem (29)
None

Tilt GOP (21)
none

Lean GOP (21)
None

Strong GOP (21)
IN*: Daniels by 16